Polymarket users are betting en masse that the American government will face another shutdown in January. US President Donald Trump stated that the government is "likely to find itself in a shutdown again due to the Democrats."
Against the backdrop of his words, the odds in the probability market on Polymarket skyrocketed by 67% in just 24 hours. Now, 77% of users believe that US authorities will shut down again this month.
On the topic: 2026 will open new opportunities in cryptocurrencies - Pantera Capital. At the same time, Congress is still considering the CLARITY Act. Consensus on the bill has not yet been reached.
Political commentator Collin Rugg linked the sharp turn in sentiment to Chuck Schumer's statement. The senator said that Democrats in the Senate will not provide votes to advance the appropriations bill if it includes funding for the Department of Homeland Security (DHS).
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What is happening in Minnesota is outrageous and unacceptable for any American city, Schumer said.
On January 24, reports emerged that federal agents shot a 37-year-old man in Minneapolis.
Trump did not rule out a shutdown in the future.
Schumer stated that the DHS bill is extremely inadequate to curb ICE abuses, and he will vote against it.
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Donald Trump did not rule out the possibility of another government shutdown, stating to Fox Business:
I think we have a problem. We are likely to face another shutdown due to the Democrats. The divide in opinions increases uncertainty around the timelines for the passage of the CLARITY Act. Previously, the bill received mixed reviews from the industry after Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and other leaders spoke out against it.
This version of the law would only worsen the current situation. The absence of a law is better than a bad law. I hope we can come to a higher quality option, noted the exchange head.
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The timelines for the passage of the CLARITY Act remain unclear.
Alex Thorne, head of research at Galaxy Digital, stated that the issue of yield on stablecoins remains unresolved. American banks insist that this will weaken their competitiveness.
There are currently no signs that the parties are close to a compromise that could restore the bill's chances of passage, he emphasized.
