#BTCbelow100k $BTC ๐ Current Situation
โข Bitcoin has fallen about 4% today, trading around $99,600, with an intraday high of $103,400 and a low of $98,800.
โข The massive sell-off (over $1 billion) was driven by tensions between the US and Iran, dragging down various risk assets, including BTC.
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๐ Technical Analysis + Sentiment
โข There are strong support tests at $100k, with a real risk of falling to $95k if that floor is lost.
โข In the short term, price action rejects the zone of $105โ106k, suggesting a bearish reversal.
โข RSI neutral (~48), near the 50-day moving average (~$101,800) and 200-day (~$98,500).
โข Sentiment remains cautious; the โFear & Greedโ index is in โFearโ mode (42), according to CoinCodex.
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๐งญ Short-Term Outlook (1โ2 weeks)
โข Pivot + resistance: $100k to $103k. If it holds and breaks $105k, it could resume the rally.
โข Downside risk: below $100k, watch as $95โ98k becomes a target for a more intense correction.
โข Today and tomorrow are decisive, with many options expiring on June 27 โ this could create extra volatility.
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๐ Medium to Long-Term Scenario
โข Some analysts (CoinCodex, Changelly) forecast up to a 33% rise in 5โ8 days, aiming for $130โ136k. However, if it falls, it may need to โbreatheโ first.
โข Institutions continue to invest: ETFs, large holders (โwhalesโ), and even governments (e.g., the US forming a strategic BTC reserve) signal increasing adoption.