BITCOIN STRUCTURE: The Trend Has Shifted ๐
โThe local cycle top is likely in. Bitcoin is no longer in an expansion phase; we have transitioned into a Bearish Repricing Phase. Here is the cold, hard data from the charts today.
โ๐ The Anatomy of the Breakdown:
โClassic Distribution: Rallies are now being used as exit liquidity. The "Buy the Dip" mentality has shifted to "Sell the Rip".
โMoving Average Trap: Price has failed to sustain above key short-term EMAs, confirming that sellers have seized control.
โMomentum Rollover: We are seeing a sequence of Lower Highs, with each bounce becoming significantly weaker.
โ๐ฏ Key Levels to Watch (The Roadmap):
โ$83,000 (Immediate Support): We are currently testing this zone. This held since November 2025, but a clean break here triggers the next leg down.
โ$78,000 (Macro Demand): If $83k fails, expect a fast acceleration into this liquidity pocket.
โ$61.4k (Structural Vacuum): The ultimate "reset" zone. This reflects the deep accumulation phase from early 2025.
โ๐ก๏ธ Strategy for the Next 30 Days:
โIn this phase, Risk Management is your only edge. The market is currently punishing late longs and rewarding those with the patience to wait for a sentiment reset.
โRemember: Major drawdowns don't end in days; they unfold over weeks. Don't be fooled by "relief rallies"โthey are often bull traps designed to trap exit liquidity.
โThe chart isn't signaling opportunity yetโitโs signaling transition. Respect the trend.
โ๐ฌ Where do you think the "Real Bottom" is?
1๏ธโฃ $83k (The Floor Holds) ๐งฑ
2๏ธโฃ $74k - $78k (Deep Correction) ๐
3๏ธโฃ $61k (The Full Cycle Reset) ๐
โShare your outlook below. Iโm tracking the order books! ๐
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