๐จ BREAKING: The odds of U.S. government shutdown by January 31 have surged sharply ๐ โ with Polymarket pricing roughly a 75โ80% likelihood after recent political turbulence. (yellow.com)
This spike comes amid intense political fallout from a fatal federal Border Patrol shooting in Minneapolis that has ignited protests, raised questions about federal enforcement tactics, and heightened partisan conflict over funding for the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) ๐บ๐ธ. (Reuters)
Senate Democrats, citing concerns about DHS policy and federal actions, have signaled opposition to advancing the DHS appropriations bill โ a key part of the larger funding package โ unless reforms are included ๐๏ธโ๏ธ. Without agreement by the end of this month, a partial shutdown becomes likely โฐ. (washingtonpost.com)
A shutdown isnโt just politics โ itโs real economic friction: delayed paychecks ๐ธ, paused contracts โ๏ธ, slowed approvals ๐, and market volatility. Historical shutdowns have had measurable GDP impact and sent workers home without pay ๐.
In previous cycles, markets first react in crypto and bonds before broader equities catch up ๐ โ something traders are watching closely.
#USShutdown #DHSFunding #Polymarket #CryptoMarkets #BinanceSquare
