Bitcoin is currently being tested at a critical point, caught between short-term technical weakness and strengthening long-term adoption. The recent drop to $87,741, alongside $1.7 billion in U.S. ETF outflows, highlights significant institutional selling pressure. This is reinforced by the collapse of the long/short ratio to 0.16, with 85% of short positions already in profit from the $95K area.
Aggressive short positioning, combined with net hourly outflows of $15.7M and ongoing distribution from large holders, is creating liquidity stress and keeping price action defensive. In the near term, the $86,000 support level is crucial. A breakdown below this zone could accelerate selling toward $84,800–$84,000.
While the RSI indicates oversold conditions, which may allow for a short-term relief bounce, the MACD remains bearish below the $91,860 resistance, suggesting consolidation could persist until ETF flows stabilize.
On the fundamental side, adoption continues to provide a constructive long-term outlook. The UK’s approval of physical BTC staking ETPs and Bitcoin exposure by Colombia’s second-largest pension fund signal deeper institutional integration.
Overall, Bitcoin appears to be at a crossroads. Technical pressure dominates near-term trading, but adoption and institutional involvement remain strong. Key support levels and capital flows will likely determine whether this phase becomes a buying opportunity or extends the current bearish trend.
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