$ETH has been dropping aggressively, but after analyzing the technical structure and on-chain behavior, I believe a short-term rebound opportunity is approaching.
Let’s break it down simply:
On the daily chart, ETH is already in deep oversold territory, with RSI near 27 — a level that historically often leads to strong technical rebounds.
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’re seeing bullish divergence forming, while the MACD is starting to curl upward, signaling weakening selling momentum.
Although capital outflows are still visible, large players have not meaningfully reduced their long exposure. This often suggests quiet accumulation during panic, rather than full distribution.
So instead of chasing price after it pumps, I prefer to enter where fear is strongest — positioning ahead of the rebound.
📌 Trade Setup — ETH Perpetual Contract
Direction: Long (buy the dip)
Leverage: 20x
Position Size: 30% of total capital
(Keep 70% in reserve to stay flexible and emotionally stable)
🧾 Entry Plan — Layered Limit Orders
1️⃣ Probe Entry: 2915.5 — 40% of position
Placed near the lower band of the 4H structure, in case price rebounds quickly.
2️⃣ Main Entry: 2868.8 — 60% of position
Placed just below the daily lower band, targeting panic-driven selling and liquidity grabs.
Estimated Average Entry: ~2887
🛡 Risk Management (Mandatory)
Stop Loss: 2775
If key support breaks, exit without hesitation — capital protection comes first.
Take Profits:
• Sell 50% at 3055
• Close remaining position at 3145
📊 Risk–Reward Breakdown
Worst-case loss: ~23% of allocated capital
Potential upside: ~53% gain
➡️ Risk–reward ratio is favorable, making this a strategically sound attempt.
⏳ Trade Rules
• Orders valid for 24 hours only — cancel if not triggered
• If only the first order fills and price moves up, move stop to breakeven
• No emotional trading, no chasing, no revenge trades
🧠 Final Thoughts
I don’t chase green candles.
I wait for panic, fear, and forced selling — that’s where cheap liquidity appears.
Be greedy when others are fearful, but always respect stop-loss discipline.
Stay patient. Stay calculated. Stay risk-managed.
