$BTC $23K Bet Targets Fed Extremes Despite “No Change” Odds 🎯

While markets are overwhelmingly pricing no rate change for the Jan 28 Fed meeting, a newly created wallet has taken a radically different approach.

The wallet deployed $23,000 across three extreme outcomes on Polymarket:

– 25+ bps rate hike

– 25 bps rate cut

– 50+ bps rate cut

If any one of these scenarios hits, the asymmetric payoff is massive — potential profits range from $1.27M, to $2.01M, and up to $5.64M on the most aggressive cut.

This is a classic low-probability, ultra-high convexity wager, directly betting against consensus expectations of Fed inaction.

Is this insider-level conviction… or a pure tail-risk lottery ticket ahead of the Fed decision?

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#Fed #Polymarket