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Why the Fed Needs to Cut Rates Because Data Proves it
Right now, there is a massive gap between what the Fed says and what is actually happening. While some question President Trump’s style, his demand to lower interest rates is backed by cold, hard facts. The Federal Reserve is ignoring "hidden" signals that show the economy is ready to soar.
Let’s Dissect the Facts:
1. GDP Growth:
The economy is a rocket. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) just confirmed on January 22 that Q3 2025 growth was 4.4%. & The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model updated its forecast on January 21, 2026. It is now tracking above 5.4% for Q1 2026. .
2. The Inflation Lie: Official vs. Real-Time
The biggest disagreement is about the cost of living.
The Official Number: The government says inflation is 2.7%. But they use old data that is often weeks or months out of date.The Real-Time Number: Independent trackers like Truflation (which uses live data from Amazon, Walmart, and Zillow) show inflation is actually around 1.7%—well below the Fed's target.
3. Labor Market:
The job market is stable, not "overheated." Jobless claims are at a steady 200K, meaning people are working and the economy is healthy.
"Traditional economists say you don't cut rates when jobs are strong/steady. But they are wrong. If inflation is dead, keeping rates high is just a tax on growth."
4. No More Excuses for the Fed
Fed Chair Jerome Powell says he wants to stay "independent" from politics. That sounds good, but independence should not be an excuse for being slow or wrong. With a steady job market and high growth, this is the "Golden Moment." The Fed can cut rates now to boost the economy without any fear.
5. Protecting the Market
If rates don't drop soon, the stock market will stay stuck in a "sideways chop" (going up and down with no progress). This makes investors lose hope. Also, cutting rates will slightly lower the value of the Dollar, which actually helps American businesses sell more products to other countries.
The Verdict:
If the Fed Powell continues to wait, they risk a "Deflation Spiral" where the economy slows down so much that it sucks up all the potential growth or worse it crashes. If we want to hit 6% growth by the end of 2026, we need lower rates immediately.This isn't just what Trump wants; it’s what the data demands.
#USIranMarketImpact #RateCutExpectations #GrayscaleBNBETFFiling #Powell
Let’s Dissect the Facts:
1. GDP Growth:
The economy is a rocket. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) just confirmed on January 22 that Q3 2025 growth was 4.4%. & The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model updated its forecast on January 21, 2026. It is now tracking above 5.4% for Q1 2026. .
2. The Inflation Lie: Official vs. Real-Time
The biggest disagreement is about the cost of living.
The Official Number: The government says inflation is 2.7%. But they use old data that is often weeks or months out of date.The Real-Time Number: Independent trackers like Truflation (which uses live data from Amazon, Walmart, and Zillow) show inflation is actually around 1.7%—well below the Fed's target.
3. Labor Market:
The job market is stable, not "overheated." Jobless claims are at a steady 200K, meaning people are working and the economy is healthy.
"Traditional economists say you don't cut rates when jobs are strong/steady. But they are wrong. If inflation is dead, keeping rates high is just a tax on growth."
4. No More Excuses for the Fed
Fed Chair Jerome Powell says he wants to stay "independent" from politics. That sounds good, but independence should not be an excuse for being slow or wrong. With a steady job market and high growth, this is the "Golden Moment." The Fed can cut rates now to boost the economy without any fear.
5. Protecting the Market
If rates don't drop soon, the stock market will stay stuck in a "sideways chop" (going up and down with no progress). This makes investors lose hope. Also, cutting rates will slightly lower the value of the Dollar, which actually helps American businesses sell more products to other countries.
The Verdict:
If the Fed Powell continues to wait, they risk a "Deflation Spiral" where the economy slows down so much that it sucks up all the potential growth or worse it crashes. If we want to hit 6% growth by the end of 2026, we need lower rates immediately.This isn't just what Trump wants; it’s what the data demands.
#USIranMarketImpact #RateCutExpectations #GrayscaleBNBETFFiling #Powell
CandleKing007:
@Erik Solberg hope so, Cuz crypto market badly need some catalyst
Still No Demand Regime Change for Bitcoin
Today we'll cover:
Still No Demand Regime Change for BitcoinGold ETF Flows Are Catching Up to BitcoinInflation Data Is Not Conducive to Rate Cuts
Taken together, these three charts point to the same conclusion from different angles.
Bitcoin’s price action isn’t being held back by a single shock or headline risk. It’s being constrained by a broader setup where fresh demand remains fragile, capital continues to favour defensive assets during uncertainty, and monetary policy lacks the room to turn meaningfully supportive.
That combination doesn’t rule out recovery. But it does mean that upside remains conditional, easily interrupted, and highly sensitive to confirmation rather than narrative. In this environment, what matters most is not isolated signals, but whether they can reinforce each other over time.
Still No Demand Regime Change for Bitcoin
Last week, Bitcoin briefly crossed an important threshold: rolling 30-day ETF flows turned positive.
That matters because sustained ETF inflows are a precondition for any durable price recovery. Without new capital consistently entering through ETFs, upside moves tend to stall rather than compound.
We also flagged at the time that this was only an early signal, not confirmation.
This week made that distinction clear. Renewed geopolitical tensions spilled into broader markets, triggering another bout of risk-off behavior… again. Since the start of the Trump administration last year, this pattern has repeated itself again and again: periods of calm interrupted by tariff threats, policy headlines, and sudden volatility.
Most risk assets managed to recover from the latest shock. Bitcoin didn’t.
The reason is simple. Bitcoin isn’t just dealing with macro uncertainty, it’s also coming off a deep and prolonged drawdown in capital flows.
As the chart shows, cumulative Bitcoin ETF flows have now been in drawdown for more than 100 consecutive days. That’s an unusually long stretch of sustained net demand weakness. When demand is this fragile, even modest spikes in volatility are enough to interrupt recovery attempts, which is exactly what happened this week, as the nascent inflow streak broke once again and rolling flows are negative once more.
The result is a market that remains unresolved. A recovery is still possible, but it is not yet self-reinforcing.
Until ETF inflows can persist through periods of broader market stress, Bitcoin remains in an undecided demand regime rather than a confirmed recovery phase.
Cumulative Bitcoin ETF flows have now been in drawdown for over 100 days, a sign that recent price stability has lacked durable demand support. Short-lived inflow streaks have repeatedly failed under market stress, highlighting why confirmation, not optimism, remains the key missing ingredient.
Gold ETF Flows Are Catching Up to Bitcoin
Earlier this week, we looked at how correlation dynamics across macro assets influence Bitcoin’s behavior. One of the key conclusions was that, in the current environment, gold has been quietly benefiting at Bitcoin’s expense.
When you zoom out, that shift becomes very clear.
The chart below compares cumulative net flows into Bitcoin ETFs and gold ETFs since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024. Bitcoin initially dominated, attracting significantly more capital than gold. But that gap has narrowed sharply over the past few months.
Since November, Bitcoin ETF flows have stalled. Gold ETF flows haven’t. As a result, gold is now only about $6 billion behind Bitcoin’s roughly $58 billion in cumulative net inflows over the same period. And the gap continues to close.
This isn’t happening because gold and Bitcoin are telling different long-term stories. In fact, they share many of the same structural narratives around hard assets and protection against monetary debasement.
The difference shows up in the short term.
Repeated risk-off episodes (many tied to U.S. tariff threats and policy uncertainty since 2025) have consistently favored gold. During those moments, gold tends to attract fresh inflows, while Bitcoin behaves more like a risk asset and struggles to retain momentum.
In other words, even when both assets rise over long horizons, their demand dynamics diverge when uncertainty spikes. And over the past year, those spikes have been frequent enough to steadily tilt relative flows toward gold.
Since Bitcoin ETF flows stalled in late 2025, gold ETFs have continued to accumulate capital, steadily closing the gap. Repeated risk-off episodes have favored gold’s defensive profile, highlighting how short-term demand dynamics (not long-term narratives) are driving relative flows.
Inflation Data Is Not Conducive to Rate Cuts
Markets broadly expect the upcoming FOMC meeting to result in no change to the policy rate.
Part of that expectation is political. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been explicit that monetary policy will remain data-driven, and cutting rates while facing overt political pressure would require a clear justification in the numbers.
That justification isn’t there.
The labor market hasn’t broken, despite repeated fears over the second half of 2025. And inflation continues to pose essentially the same challenge it did two years ago.
The chart below shows year-on-year PCE inflation, which I remind you is the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation. Even smoothing out short-term noise and data delays related to the government shutdown, the message is straightforward: inflation has been stuck at elevated levels for roughly two years.
More importantly, it remains well above its pre-COVID range.
That matters because the COVID shock is no longer recent history. We are now nearly six years removed from the 2020 crisis. Year after year of inflation running above target compounds, both economically and politically, and it limits how much flexibility the Federal Reserve has.
Absent a clear downside surprise in inflation or a sudden deterioration in growth, this makes a fast or aggressive rate-cutting cycle unlikely. Cuts may still come eventually, but they are likely to be cautious and conditional rather than front-loaded.
This isn’t a new message from the Fed, and it probably won’t rattle markets on its own. But it does act as a brake on how quickly risk-on assets can expand, even if it lacks the shock value of tariff headlines or geopolitical flare-ups.
PCE inflation has made little net progress for nearly two years and remains well above its pre-COVID range. This persistent plateau limits the Fed’s ability to justify rapid rate cuts absent a clear deterioration in growth or labor conditions.
Tactical Takeaway
The current setup argues for restraint rather than anticipation.
Bitcoin is not facing an outright hostile environment, but it is still operating without durable demand confirmation and without meaningful macro tailwinds. In this kind of market, early signals tend to appear and disappear, and short-lived recoveries are easily interrupted by volatility or shifts in risk appetite.
For investors, the key mistake to avoid is treating stabilization as validation. Until ETF inflows persist through market stress increasing exposure aggressively risks chasing moves that lack reinforcement.
The discipline here is simple: let confirmation set the pace, not conviction. Incremental positioning can make sense, but only if demand and macro signals begin to align rather than diverge.
(Market commentary, not financial advice.)
#BTC #BTCVSGOLD #RateCutExpectations
Still No Demand Regime Change for BitcoinGold ETF Flows Are Catching Up to BitcoinInflation Data Is Not Conducive to Rate Cuts
Taken together, these three charts point to the same conclusion from different angles.
Bitcoin’s price action isn’t being held back by a single shock or headline risk. It’s being constrained by a broader setup where fresh demand remains fragile, capital continues to favour defensive assets during uncertainty, and monetary policy lacks the room to turn meaningfully supportive.
That combination doesn’t rule out recovery. But it does mean that upside remains conditional, easily interrupted, and highly sensitive to confirmation rather than narrative. In this environment, what matters most is not isolated signals, but whether they can reinforce each other over time.
Still No Demand Regime Change for Bitcoin
Last week, Bitcoin briefly crossed an important threshold: rolling 30-day ETF flows turned positive.
That matters because sustained ETF inflows are a precondition for any durable price recovery. Without new capital consistently entering through ETFs, upside moves tend to stall rather than compound.
We also flagged at the time that this was only an early signal, not confirmation.
This week made that distinction clear. Renewed geopolitical tensions spilled into broader markets, triggering another bout of risk-off behavior… again. Since the start of the Trump administration last year, this pattern has repeated itself again and again: periods of calm interrupted by tariff threats, policy headlines, and sudden volatility.
Most risk assets managed to recover from the latest shock. Bitcoin didn’t.
The reason is simple. Bitcoin isn’t just dealing with macro uncertainty, it’s also coming off a deep and prolonged drawdown in capital flows.
As the chart shows, cumulative Bitcoin ETF flows have now been in drawdown for more than 100 consecutive days. That’s an unusually long stretch of sustained net demand weakness. When demand is this fragile, even modest spikes in volatility are enough to interrupt recovery attempts, which is exactly what happened this week, as the nascent inflow streak broke once again and rolling flows are negative once more.
The result is a market that remains unresolved. A recovery is still possible, but it is not yet self-reinforcing.
Until ETF inflows can persist through periods of broader market stress, Bitcoin remains in an undecided demand regime rather than a confirmed recovery phase.
Cumulative Bitcoin ETF flows have now been in drawdown for over 100 days, a sign that recent price stability has lacked durable demand support. Short-lived inflow streaks have repeatedly failed under market stress, highlighting why confirmation, not optimism, remains the key missing ingredient.
Gold ETF Flows Are Catching Up to Bitcoin
Earlier this week, we looked at how correlation dynamics across macro assets influence Bitcoin’s behavior. One of the key conclusions was that, in the current environment, gold has been quietly benefiting at Bitcoin’s expense.
When you zoom out, that shift becomes very clear.
The chart below compares cumulative net flows into Bitcoin ETFs and gold ETFs since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024. Bitcoin initially dominated, attracting significantly more capital than gold. But that gap has narrowed sharply over the past few months.
Since November, Bitcoin ETF flows have stalled. Gold ETF flows haven’t. As a result, gold is now only about $6 billion behind Bitcoin’s roughly $58 billion in cumulative net inflows over the same period. And the gap continues to close.
This isn’t happening because gold and Bitcoin are telling different long-term stories. In fact, they share many of the same structural narratives around hard assets and protection against monetary debasement.
The difference shows up in the short term.
Repeated risk-off episodes (many tied to U.S. tariff threats and policy uncertainty since 2025) have consistently favored gold. During those moments, gold tends to attract fresh inflows, while Bitcoin behaves more like a risk asset and struggles to retain momentum.
In other words, even when both assets rise over long horizons, their demand dynamics diverge when uncertainty spikes. And over the past year, those spikes have been frequent enough to steadily tilt relative flows toward gold.
Since Bitcoin ETF flows stalled in late 2025, gold ETFs have continued to accumulate capital, steadily closing the gap. Repeated risk-off episodes have favored gold’s defensive profile, highlighting how short-term demand dynamics (not long-term narratives) are driving relative flows.
Inflation Data Is Not Conducive to Rate Cuts
Markets broadly expect the upcoming FOMC meeting to result in no change to the policy rate.
Part of that expectation is political. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been explicit that monetary policy will remain data-driven, and cutting rates while facing overt political pressure would require a clear justification in the numbers.
That justification isn’t there.
The labor market hasn’t broken, despite repeated fears over the second half of 2025. And inflation continues to pose essentially the same challenge it did two years ago.
The chart below shows year-on-year PCE inflation, which I remind you is the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation. Even smoothing out short-term noise and data delays related to the government shutdown, the message is straightforward: inflation has been stuck at elevated levels for roughly two years.
More importantly, it remains well above its pre-COVID range.
That matters because the COVID shock is no longer recent history. We are now nearly six years removed from the 2020 crisis. Year after year of inflation running above target compounds, both economically and politically, and it limits how much flexibility the Federal Reserve has.
Absent a clear downside surprise in inflation or a sudden deterioration in growth, this makes a fast or aggressive rate-cutting cycle unlikely. Cuts may still come eventually, but they are likely to be cautious and conditional rather than front-loaded.
This isn’t a new message from the Fed, and it probably won’t rattle markets on its own. But it does act as a brake on how quickly risk-on assets can expand, even if it lacks the shock value of tariff headlines or geopolitical flare-ups.
PCE inflation has made little net progress for nearly two years and remains well above its pre-COVID range. This persistent plateau limits the Fed’s ability to justify rapid rate cuts absent a clear deterioration in growth or labor conditions.
Tactical Takeaway
The current setup argues for restraint rather than anticipation.
Bitcoin is not facing an outright hostile environment, but it is still operating without durable demand confirmation and without meaningful macro tailwinds. In this kind of market, early signals tend to appear and disappear, and short-lived recoveries are easily interrupted by volatility or shifts in risk appetite.
For investors, the key mistake to avoid is treating stabilization as validation. Until ETF inflows persist through market stress increasing exposure aggressively risks chasing moves that lack reinforcement.
The discipline here is simple: let confirmation set the pace, not conviction. Incremental positioning can make sense, but only if demand and macro signals begin to align rather than diverge.
(Market commentary, not financial advice.)
#BTC #BTCVSGOLD #RateCutExpectations
🔥A Quick Reminder:
8 days left till the next rate decision.
As for today Bears 95:5 Bulls
Time for some $XAU $XAG !
#RateCutExpectations #MarketRebound #TradFi
8 days left till the next rate decision.
As for today Bears 95:5 Bulls
Time for some $XAU $XAG !
#RateCutExpectations #MarketRebound #TradFi
Parece que los creadores de contenido llevan ya unos meses advirtiendo del inicio del mercado bajista. Tal vez tengan razon, o tal vez eso seria demasiada previsibilidad para un mercado como este. Al mismo tiempo, nos encontramos con unos porcentajes ridiculamente bajos de bajada de tipos de interés por la FED el próximo 28 de enero, y de nuevo, tal vez eso significaría una excesiva capacidad para predecir lo que sucederá en los mercados. Desde la última bajada de tipos en diciembre y tras el discurso de Powell, todo parecía apuntar ya a que los recortes se pausarían, y los datos de inflación y empleo no parecían suficientemente impactantes como para movilizar a la FED en otro dirección. Y por ello en herramientas como Fedwatch llevamos varias semanas con baja probabilidad de bajadas de tipos.
Estos días pasados ha aparecido una noticia un tanto sorprendente respecto q la inflación: la herramienta Truflation ha señaldo lecturas de entre el 1.55 y el 1.74% de inflación de precios para enero en el momento actual. Esta herramienta ya se ha adelantado anteriormente a escenarios como los repuntes de inflación de la era COVID a consecuenccia de las políticas expansivas de la FED. Si se da el caso de que se mantienen estas lecturas de cara al día 28, cabría la posibilidad de darle la vuelta a las previsiones de pausa en las bajadas de tipos ya que los datos indicarían que no existe un peligro excesivo en nuevas bajadas para los datos de inflación, ya que tras tres bajadas consecutivas de 25 pb ésta no habría hecho otra cosa que reducirse. Supongo que habrá para ver si estos datos que ya sitúan la inflación dentro fe los objetivos de la FED se mantienen y son suficientes para permitir nuevas bajadas de tipos de interés en el corto plazo. ¿Y vosotros que pensáis, hay hueco para ser optimistas o hemos empezado ya con el ciclo bajista?
#bullish #bearish #RateCutExpectations #MarketRebound #HODL
Estos días pasados ha aparecido una noticia un tanto sorprendente respecto q la inflación: la herramienta Truflation ha señaldo lecturas de entre el 1.55 y el 1.74% de inflación de precios para enero en el momento actual. Esta herramienta ya se ha adelantado anteriormente a escenarios como los repuntes de inflación de la era COVID a consecuenccia de las políticas expansivas de la FED. Si se da el caso de que se mantienen estas lecturas de cara al día 28, cabría la posibilidad de darle la vuelta a las previsiones de pausa en las bajadas de tipos ya que los datos indicarían que no existe un peligro excesivo en nuevas bajadas para los datos de inflación, ya que tras tres bajadas consecutivas de 25 pb ésta no habría hecho otra cosa que reducirse. Supongo que habrá para ver si estos datos que ya sitúan la inflación dentro fe los objetivos de la FED se mantienen y son suficientes para permitir nuevas bajadas de tipos de interés en el corto plazo. ¿Y vosotros que pensáis, hay hueco para ser optimistas o hemos empezado ya con el ciclo bajista?
#bullish #bearish #RateCutExpectations #MarketRebound #HODL
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 US Inflation Index is dropping hard.
More rate cuts are coming in 2026.
#RateCutExpectations #BTC
$BNB
$SOL
$XRP
More rate cuts are coming in 2026.
#RateCutExpectations #BTC
$BNB
$SOL
$XRP
💥🔥🔥Urgent news: The probability of a US interest rate cut suddenly increased to 93.9% 🙉🙈🙊
You know what that means... 🚀🚀
#RateCutExpectations #Rates #Fed
You know what that means... 🚀🚀
#RateCutExpectations #Rates #Fed
#RateCutExpectations
🔴 الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب يتحدث عن عملية اختيار خليفة جيروم باول في منصب رئيس الاحتياطي الفدرالي الأميركي، مع نهاية فترة ولاية الأخير في مايو/ أيار المقبل
◀ ترامب ضغط كثيراً هذا العام على باول موجهاً له العديد من الانتقادات بسبب عدم خفض معدلات الفائدة بنفس الوتيرة التي يرغبها الرئيس الأميركي
◀ من المتوقع أن يخفض الاحتياطي الفدرالي معدلات الفائدة للمرة الثانية هذا العام خلال اجتماعه غدًا
🔴 الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب يتحدث عن عملية اختيار خليفة جيروم باول في منصب رئيس الاحتياطي الفدرالي الأميركي، مع نهاية فترة ولاية الأخير في مايو/ أيار المقبل
◀ ترامب ضغط كثيراً هذا العام على باول موجهاً له العديد من الانتقادات بسبب عدم خفض معدلات الفائدة بنفس الوتيرة التي يرغبها الرئيس الأميركي
◀ من المتوقع أن يخفض الاحتياطي الفدرالي معدلات الفائدة للمرة الثانية هذا العام خلال اجتماعه غدًا
#PowellRemarks
US stocks tumbled as Powell spoke
WashingtonCNN —
President Donald Trump’s significant policy changes, including on tariffs, are unlike anything seen in modern history, putting the Federal Reserve in uncharted waters, Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday.
“These are very fundamental policy changes,” Powell said at an event hosted by the Economic Club of Chicago. “There isn’t a modern experience of how to think about this.”
Powell said “the level of the tariff increases announced so far is significantly larger than anticipated” and that the lingering uncertainty around tariffs could inflict lasting economic damage. With Trump’s tariffs putting the economy on a path toward weaker growth, higher unemployment and faster inflation — all at the same time — the Fed is also facing a situation it hasn’t dealt with in about half a century.
“We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension,” Powell said.
US stocks tumbled as Powell spoke: The Dow was down 700 points, or 1.7%. The broader S&P 500 fell 2.5%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 3.5%.
The Fed is responsible for promoting full employment and keeping inflation in check, but Trump’s tariffs threaten both of those goals. For now, however, the US economy remains in decent shape, according to the latest data.
Powell said the Fed’s best move for the moment is to stand pat until the data clearly shows how the US economy is responding to Trump’s policies.
what is your opinion about future outlook for crypto market after Powell's speech ?
#PowellRemarks
#RateCutExpectations
US stocks tumbled as Powell spoke
WashingtonCNN —
President Donald Trump’s significant policy changes, including on tariffs, are unlike anything seen in modern history, putting the Federal Reserve in uncharted waters, Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday.
“These are very fundamental policy changes,” Powell said at an event hosted by the Economic Club of Chicago. “There isn’t a modern experience of how to think about this.”
Powell said “the level of the tariff increases announced so far is significantly larger than anticipated” and that the lingering uncertainty around tariffs could inflict lasting economic damage. With Trump’s tariffs putting the economy on a path toward weaker growth, higher unemployment and faster inflation — all at the same time — the Fed is also facing a situation it hasn’t dealt with in about half a century.
“We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension,” Powell said.
US stocks tumbled as Powell spoke: The Dow was down 700 points, or 1.7%. The broader S&P 500 fell 2.5%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 3.5%.
The Fed is responsible for promoting full employment and keeping inflation in check, but Trump’s tariffs threaten both of those goals. For now, however, the US economy remains in decent shape, according to the latest data.
Powell said the Fed’s best move for the moment is to stand pat until the data clearly shows how the US economy is responding to Trump’s policies.
what is your opinion about future outlook for crypto market after Powell's speech ?
#PowellRemarks
#RateCutExpectations
🔥💥Why a FED Rate Cut Can Boost Bitcoin💥🔥
When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it usually kicks off a wave of excitement in the crypto market — especially for Bitcoin. Here’s how:
📉 Lower Rates = Cheaper Money
Easy borrowing means more liquidity flowing into risk-on assets like crypto.
💸 Weaker USD = Stronger BTC
A soft dollar makes Bitcoin attractive as a hedge against inflation.
📊 Capital Shift to Digital Assets
Less interest in bonds and fiat pushes investors toward high-upside plays like $BTC .
⚙️ Macro Tailwind for Crypto
A dovish Fed = economic caution. That strengthens Bitcoin’s case as "digital gold."
Rate cuts don’t guarantee a pump — but they light the match.
Stay sharp. Stay ready.
#RateCutExpectations #MacroMoves #DigitalGold
#BTCBreaksATH110K #pi
$SOL
$BTC
When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it usually kicks off a wave of excitement in the crypto market — especially for Bitcoin. Here’s how:
📉 Lower Rates = Cheaper Money
Easy borrowing means more liquidity flowing into risk-on assets like crypto.
💸 Weaker USD = Stronger BTC
A soft dollar makes Bitcoin attractive as a hedge against inflation.
📊 Capital Shift to Digital Assets
Less interest in bonds and fiat pushes investors toward high-upside plays like $BTC .
⚙️ Macro Tailwind for Crypto
A dovish Fed = economic caution. That strengthens Bitcoin’s case as "digital gold."
Rate cuts don’t guarantee a pump — but they light the match.
Stay sharp. Stay ready.
#RateCutExpectations #MacroMoves #DigitalGold
#BTCBreaksATH110K #pi
$SOL
$BTC
Fed Rate Cut in September Hits 90% Probability: What It Means for Crypto Investors
The buzz in financial markets is electric: the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September 2025 has surged to around 90%, according to market indicators like the CME FedWatch Tool. For crypto enthusiasts, this could be a game-changer, signaling a shift toward easier monetary policy that historically boosts risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Why does this matter for crypto? Lower interest rates reduce the appeal of safe-haven investments like bonds, pushing capital into higher-yield opportunities. In a low-rate environment, borrowing becomes cheaper, fueling speculation and innovation in the blockchain space. Remember 2021? When rates were near zero, Bitcoin skyrocketed to $69,000 amid rampant liquidity. A September cut—likely 25 basis points—could reignite that momentum, especially as inflation cools and the economy shows resilience.
Analysts predict a ripple effect: altcoins could see outsized gains as investors rotate from stocks to decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. Ethereum's staking yields might become even more attractive compared to traditional savings. However, volatility looms— if the cut is smaller than expected or delayed, we could face short-term dips. Fed Chair Powell's recent dovish tones at Jackson Hole support this outlook, with experts like Fed Governor Waller endorsing gradual easing.
For crypto traders, now's the time to position strategically. Diversify into blue-chip tokens, monitor on-chain metrics, and watch for ETF inflows. If rates drop, expect a bull run; but hedge against surprises with stablecoins.
Stay ahead—subscribe for more crypto insights and share your thoughts below. Will this rate cut propel BTC to new highs? Let's discuss! #RateCutExpectations #SaylorBTCPurchase
Why does this matter for crypto? Lower interest rates reduce the appeal of safe-haven investments like bonds, pushing capital into higher-yield opportunities. In a low-rate environment, borrowing becomes cheaper, fueling speculation and innovation in the blockchain space. Remember 2021? When rates were near zero, Bitcoin skyrocketed to $69,000 amid rampant liquidity. A September cut—likely 25 basis points—could reignite that momentum, especially as inflation cools and the economy shows resilience.
Analysts predict a ripple effect: altcoins could see outsized gains as investors rotate from stocks to decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. Ethereum's staking yields might become even more attractive compared to traditional savings. However, volatility looms— if the cut is smaller than expected or delayed, we could face short-term dips. Fed Chair Powell's recent dovish tones at Jackson Hole support this outlook, with experts like Fed Governor Waller endorsing gradual easing.
For crypto traders, now's the time to position strategically. Diversify into blue-chip tokens, monitor on-chain metrics, and watch for ETF inflows. If rates drop, expect a bull run; but hedge against surprises with stablecoins.
Stay ahead—subscribe for more crypto insights and share your thoughts below. Will this rate cut propel BTC to new highs? Let's discuss! #RateCutExpectations #SaylorBTCPurchase
🚨 ALL EYES ON THE FED TODAY 🚨
Jerome Powell is about to announce the rate cut decision, and markets are betting on a 25bps cut 📉💵
So why is this a game-changer for crypto? Let’s break it down 👇
🔹 💧 Liquidity Surge Incoming
Lower rates = cheaper borrowing. That means money flows faster through the system. And trust me, that fresh liquidity doesn’t just sit in banks — it goes chasing risk assets like stocks, $BTC , and altcoins.
🔹 🚀 Crypto LOVES Easy Money
We’ve seen this before. Back in 2020-21, central banks went all-in with stimulus and record-low rates. The result? Bitcoin rocketed from $10K → $69K in just over a year 📈🔥. Altcoins followed with mind-blowing gains.
🔹 📖 History Could Repeat
If Powell kicks off another easing cycle, it could be rocket fuel 🚀 for BTC and the entire crypto market. And this time, institutions, ETFs, and global adoption make the setup even stronger than the last cycle.
🔹 ⏳ The Clock Is Ticking
The next 2-3 months are going to be absolutely make-or-break:
✅ Get positioned early → Ride the rocket 🌙
❌ Wait too long → You’ll be watching from the sidelines 👀
⚡ This isn’t just another Fed meeting. This could be the spark that lights the next bull run. The same forces that pushed Bitcoin to $69K are coming back — maybe even stronger.
The only question is… will you be on the rocket 🚀 or standing on the ground waving goodbye? 👋
$ETH $SOL
#Bitcoin #Crypto #FOMC #RateCutExpectations #liquidity #FedRateCutExpectations #BullRun
Jerome Powell is about to announce the rate cut decision, and markets are betting on a 25bps cut 📉💵
So why is this a game-changer for crypto? Let’s break it down 👇
🔹 💧 Liquidity Surge Incoming
Lower rates = cheaper borrowing. That means money flows faster through the system. And trust me, that fresh liquidity doesn’t just sit in banks — it goes chasing risk assets like stocks, $BTC , and altcoins.
🔹 🚀 Crypto LOVES Easy Money
We’ve seen this before. Back in 2020-21, central banks went all-in with stimulus and record-low rates. The result? Bitcoin rocketed from $10K → $69K in just over a year 📈🔥. Altcoins followed with mind-blowing gains.
🔹 📖 History Could Repeat
If Powell kicks off another easing cycle, it could be rocket fuel 🚀 for BTC and the entire crypto market. And this time, institutions, ETFs, and global adoption make the setup even stronger than the last cycle.
🔹 ⏳ The Clock Is Ticking
The next 2-3 months are going to be absolutely make-or-break:
✅ Get positioned early → Ride the rocket 🌙
❌ Wait too long → You’ll be watching from the sidelines 👀
⚡ This isn’t just another Fed meeting. This could be the spark that lights the next bull run. The same forces that pushed Bitcoin to $69K are coming back — maybe even stronger.
The only question is… will you be on the rocket 🚀 or standing on the ground waving goodbye? 👋
$ETH $SOL
#Bitcoin #Crypto #FOMC #RateCutExpectations #liquidity #FedRateCutExpectations #BullRun
`یہ Rate Cut کیا چیز ھے` ؟؟؟ #RateCutExpectations
> *عام الفاظ میں اسکو `شرح سود` کم یا ذیادہ کرنا کہتے* *یعنی گورنمنٹ Banks 🏦 قرضہ لینے پر اضافی سود کم کرتے اور پرافٹ دینا بھی کم کر دیتے*
اگر کسی ملک میں بے روزگاری بڑھ رہی ھو Job ختم ھو رہی ھوں تو اس ملک کے گورنمنٹ Banks 🏦 بینک میں پیسے رکھنے والوں کو پرافٹ دینا کم کر دیتے ھیں
اور قرضہ لینے کیلیے قرضے پر شرح سود کم کر دیتے ھیں، جس سے لوگوں بینکوں سے پیسہ اٹھا کر اپنے کاروبار اور Risky مارکیٹ میں لگاتے جس سے لوگوں کو Job ملنے لگ جاتے،
`اسکو Rate cut کہتے،` Banks 🏦پرافٹ دینا کم کر دیتے اور قرضہ لینا آسان کر دیتے ،
جب گورنمنٹ Banks 🏦 پرافٹ دینا کم کر دیتے تو جنکا پیسہ بینک میں پڑا ھوتا وہ وہاں سے نکال کر CRYPTO مارکیٹ اور Stocks مارکیٹ میں لگاتے ، تاکہ Banks سے ذیادہ پرافٹ بنا سکیں وہ،
اور یہ وہ لوگ ھوتے جنکے پیسہ Millions - Billions ڈالرز میں پڑا ھوتا گورنمنٹ کے Banks میں،
جب اس ملک کی عوام خوشحال ھو جاتی Jobs ختم ھونا کم ھو جاتی، تو تب اسکی ملک کی گورنمنٹ بینک پھر سے قرضہ کی ادائیگی کی شرح سود بڑھا دیتے،
جب شرح سود کم کرتے اسکو Rate Cut کہتے
> *عام الفاظ میں اسکو `شرح سود` کم یا ذیادہ کرنا کہتے* *یعنی گورنمنٹ Banks 🏦 قرضہ لینے پر اضافی سود کم کرتے اور پرافٹ دینا بھی کم کر دیتے*
اگر کسی ملک میں بے روزگاری بڑھ رہی ھو Job ختم ھو رہی ھوں تو اس ملک کے گورنمنٹ Banks 🏦 بینک میں پیسے رکھنے والوں کو پرافٹ دینا کم کر دیتے ھیں
اور قرضہ لینے کیلیے قرضے پر شرح سود کم کر دیتے ھیں، جس سے لوگوں بینکوں سے پیسہ اٹھا کر اپنے کاروبار اور Risky مارکیٹ میں لگاتے جس سے لوگوں کو Job ملنے لگ جاتے،
`اسکو Rate cut کہتے،` Banks 🏦پرافٹ دینا کم کر دیتے اور قرضہ لینا آسان کر دیتے ،
جب گورنمنٹ Banks 🏦 پرافٹ دینا کم کر دیتے تو جنکا پیسہ بینک میں پڑا ھوتا وہ وہاں سے نکال کر CRYPTO مارکیٹ اور Stocks مارکیٹ میں لگاتے ، تاکہ Banks سے ذیادہ پرافٹ بنا سکیں وہ،
اور یہ وہ لوگ ھوتے جنکے پیسہ Millions - Billions ڈالرز میں پڑا ھوتا گورنمنٹ کے Banks میں،
جب اس ملک کی عوام خوشحال ھو جاتی Jobs ختم ھونا کم ھو جاتی، تو تب اسکی ملک کی گورنمنٹ بینک پھر سے قرضہ کی ادائیگی کی شرح سود بڑھا دیتے،
جب شرح سود کم کرتے اسکو Rate Cut کہتے
🤔FOMC meeting in just 1 day and a few hours. Markets are in full uncertainty mode. Rumors, noise, and manipulations about rate cuts are everywhere.
Here’s where the traps are set:
• Fake moves to grab liquidity
• Sudden spikes to hunt stop-losses
• Sentiment swings driven by headlines
🔫The main goal right now — survive.
• Stay defensive
• Manage risk strictly
• Don’t go heavy before the news
Ride out the uncertainty — then take positions once the dust settles after FOMC!
#Binance #fomc #RateCutExpectations
Here’s where the traps are set:
• Fake moves to grab liquidity
• Sudden spikes to hunt stop-losses
• Sentiment swings driven by headlines
🔫The main goal right now — survive.
• Stay defensive
• Manage risk strictly
• Don’t go heavy before the news
Ride out the uncertainty — then take positions once the dust settles after FOMC!
#Binance #fomc #RateCutExpectations
U.S. jobs data remains sluggish, falling short of expectations
The U.S. just released June JOLTS figures: job openings came in at 7.18M, below expectations of 7.38M and down from 7.36M in the previous month.
👉 The U.S. labor market still shows no signs of recovery. The probability of the Fed cutting rates at this month’s meeting has now risen to 93.7% (vs. 88.7% last week).
Currently, the Fed is focusing more on labor market data than inflation. The next two key employment reports are:
- Sept 4, 12:15 UTC: ADP payrolls (Forecast = 73K, Previous = 104K)
- Sept 5, 12:30 UTC: July Non-farm Payrolls
Unemployment rate (Forecast = 4.3%, Previous = 4.2%)
Jobs added (Forecast = 75K, Previous = 73K)
#Fed #RateCutExpectations $BTC
The U.S. just released June JOLTS figures: job openings came in at 7.18M, below expectations of 7.38M and down from 7.36M in the previous month.
👉 The U.S. labor market still shows no signs of recovery. The probability of the Fed cutting rates at this month’s meeting has now risen to 93.7% (vs. 88.7% last week).
Currently, the Fed is focusing more on labor market data than inflation. The next two key employment reports are:
- Sept 4, 12:15 UTC: ADP payrolls (Forecast = 73K, Previous = 104K)
- Sept 5, 12:30 UTC: July Non-farm Payrolls
Unemployment rate (Forecast = 4.3%, Previous = 4.2%)
Jobs added (Forecast = 75K, Previous = 73K)
#Fed #RateCutExpectations $BTC
🚨📉 FED RATE CUT MANIA: Don’t Get Fooled! The REAL Game Explained 🔥
Today, September 17th, has every market rookie screaming “Rate cuts = 🚀 Bullish!!” — but let’s clear the smoke. If you’ve been around for at least a year, you already know:
👉 A single rate cut means NOTHING.
Anyone saying otherwise is pure matric-fail, low IQ doggie 🐕💀.
What really matters is the bigger picture. Let me break it down for you in plain, explosive words:
⚡ What You Should Focus On:
1️⃣ How many cuts are coming this year?
One random chop today? Worthless. Dangerous even. Markets can pump then dump you harder than your ex.
2️⃣ Does Powell (a.k.a. Chaudhry of the Fed) signal SEVERAL cuts this year?
If yes = Bullish.
If no = BAD. Don’t get trapped.
3️⃣ What does he say about inflation?
If he claims inflation is under control ✅, that’s a green flag.
If not ❌, then even with a cut, it’s actually bearish — unless he promises at least 2 more cuts.
4️⃣ What if he cuts but stays confused?
If Powell cuts and then mumbles “we’ll see about inflation,” that’s 🚨 WORSE than no cut at all. It means inflation is not under control and uncertainty kills markets.
💎 Best Case Scenario (Super Bullish)
Cut today.
Signals multiple cuts this year (minimum 2).
Shows confidence inflation will be tamed in the next 1–3 months.
This = markets pump for real 🚀💥.
🧨 Worst Case Scenario (Super Bearish)
Cut today.
No clarity about more cuts.
Still unsure about inflation.
This = September 17th turns into a bloody trap 🩸. The first 48–72 hours will be nothing but manipulation and fake pumps. Don’t be the exit liquidity.
📌 Final Word:
Markets will pump either way — but without the bullish combo, it’s fake fireworks 🎆. Stay sharp, ignore the noise, and don’t let Chaudhry’s “rate cut circus” fool you.
#USBitcoinReserveDiscussion #Binance #RateCutExpectations #USBank
👉 A single rate cut means NOTHING.
Anyone saying otherwise is pure matric-fail, low IQ doggie 🐕💀.
What really matters is the bigger picture. Let me break it down for you in plain, explosive words:
⚡ What You Should Focus On:
1️⃣ How many cuts are coming this year?
One random chop today? Worthless. Dangerous even. Markets can pump then dump you harder than your ex.
2️⃣ Does Powell (a.k.a. Chaudhry of the Fed) signal SEVERAL cuts this year?
If yes = Bullish.
If no = BAD. Don’t get trapped.
3️⃣ What does he say about inflation?
If he claims inflation is under control ✅, that’s a green flag.
If not ❌, then even with a cut, it’s actually bearish — unless he promises at least 2 more cuts.
4️⃣ What if he cuts but stays confused?
If Powell cuts and then mumbles “we’ll see about inflation,” that’s 🚨 WORSE than no cut at all. It means inflation is not under control and uncertainty kills markets.
💎 Best Case Scenario (Super Bullish)
Cut today.
Signals multiple cuts this year (minimum 2).
Shows confidence inflation will be tamed in the next 1–3 months.
This = markets pump for real 🚀💥.
🧨 Worst Case Scenario (Super Bearish)
Cut today.
No clarity about more cuts.
Still unsure about inflation.
This = September 17th turns into a bloody trap 🩸. The first 48–72 hours will be nothing but manipulation and fake pumps. Don’t be the exit liquidity.
📌 Final Word:
Markets will pump either way — but without the bullish combo, it’s fake fireworks 🎆. Stay sharp, ignore the noise, and don’t let Chaudhry’s “rate cut circus” fool you.
#USBitcoinReserveDiscussion #Binance #RateCutExpectations #USBank
$BTC
Bullish: 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Jerome Powell has a 99% chance to cut interest rates tomorrow, via Polymarket.
#Fed #RateCutExpectations
Bullish: 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Jerome Powell has a 99% chance to cut interest rates tomorrow, via Polymarket.
#Fed #RateCutExpectations
🚨🚨🚨
if you don't listen to true technical analysis, market sentiment and trend shifts.
Then its your loss not mine.
I'll keep on printing money. I've been doing this for 7 years now.
But i want everyone else to succeed. If they want that for themselves, that is
i gave this trade yesterday of #FIL/USDT
Look where is it at $FIL
#Binance #BTC #RateCutExpectations
if you don't listen to true technical analysis, market sentiment and trend shifts.
Then its your loss not mine.
I'll keep on printing money. I've been doing this for 7 years now.
But i want everyone else to succeed. If they want that for themselves, that is
i gave this trade yesterday of #FIL/USDT
Look where is it at $FIL
#Binance #BTC #RateCutExpectations
🚨 *THIS IS HOW ALTCOINS WILL PUMP AFTER FED RATE CUTS* 🚀💸
*The Liquidity Flood Is Coming — Are You Positioned?* 🔥📈
Alright... grab your seat, because what’s about to happen in the markets *isn’t just a pump — it’s a MONEY WAVE* 🌊💰
FED is about to cut rates.
Yes, *cheaper money = more liquidity = rocket fuel for crypto*.
But here’s the alpha most people miss 👇
---
🧠 *How Rate Cuts Supercharge Altcoins:*
➡️ *Lower interest rates* = cheaper borrowing
➡️ Big players take money out of boring T-bills (low yield)
➡️ That capital *flows into high-risk/high-reward assets* = *ALTCOINS* 💎
📌 And alts don’t just follow BTC. They *lag a bit*… then go *full ballistic* once BTC stabilizes post-pump.
---
🔥 Here’s What To Expect:
1. *BTC leads the rally* → ETH follows → then *alts go wild* (10x–50x zones)
2. Narratives like *AI, DePIN, RWA, L2s, Solana memes* will EXPLODE 🧠💥
3. Coins with *low market cap, high utility, and strong teams* will lead
---
✅ How to Prepare:
• *Build positions NOW*, not when green candles arrive
• Stick to *strong alts* (ETH, SOL, AVAX, INJ, LINK)
• *Set stop-losses* — protect your capital
• Watch Powell’s tone after the cut — if he hints more cuts, that’s the greenlight
---
🧩 Pro Tip:
*Don’t chase — position.*
: Once retail realizes what's happening, the real FOMO begins.
You’re early. Play it smart. 🎯
---
👀 Are you READY… or gonna let this altseason 2.0 pass you by again?
👉 *Follow me* for live calls and breakdowns
🧠 *Do your own research*
$DOGE
#Fetch_ai #FOM #CryptoNews #RateCutExpectations #Altseason
*The Liquidity Flood Is Coming — Are You Positioned?* 🔥📈
Alright... grab your seat, because what’s about to happen in the markets *isn’t just a pump — it’s a MONEY WAVE* 🌊💰
FED is about to cut rates.
Yes, *cheaper money = more liquidity = rocket fuel for crypto*.
But here’s the alpha most people miss 👇
---
🧠 *How Rate Cuts Supercharge Altcoins:*
➡️ *Lower interest rates* = cheaper borrowing
➡️ Big players take money out of boring T-bills (low yield)
➡️ That capital *flows into high-risk/high-reward assets* = *ALTCOINS* 💎
📌 And alts don’t just follow BTC. They *lag a bit*… then go *full ballistic* once BTC stabilizes post-pump.
---
🔥 Here’s What To Expect:
1. *BTC leads the rally* → ETH follows → then *alts go wild* (10x–50x zones)
2. Narratives like *AI, DePIN, RWA, L2s, Solana memes* will EXPLODE 🧠💥
3. Coins with *low market cap, high utility, and strong teams* will lead
---
✅ How to Prepare:
• *Build positions NOW*, not when green candles arrive
• Stick to *strong alts* (ETH, SOL, AVAX, INJ, LINK)
• *Set stop-losses* — protect your capital
• Watch Powell’s tone after the cut — if he hints more cuts, that’s the greenlight
---
🧩 Pro Tip:
*Don’t chase — position.*
: Once retail realizes what's happening, the real FOMO begins.
You’re early. Play it smart. 🎯
---
👀 Are you READY… or gonna let this altseason 2.0 pass you by again?
👉 *Follow me* for live calls and breakdowns
🧠 *Do your own research*
$DOGE
#Fetch_ai #FOM #CryptoNews #RateCutExpectations #Altseason
On 17 sep for 100% sure rate will be cut 25 basis points if 50 that will be more better.
Before that market may be dip,that will be good to buy more on cheaper rates but you must be careful after that the market will be green again and enjoy your ride.
$SOMI
$GALA
$MKR
#Follow_Like_Comment
#RateCutExpectations
#Write2Earn
Before that market may be dip,that will be good to buy more on cheaper rates but you must be careful after that the market will be green again and enjoy your ride.
$SOMI
$GALA
$MKR
#Follow_Like_Comment
#RateCutExpectations
#Write2Earn
Potential Crypto Market Outlook
Jerome Powell's recent remarks highlight significant economic uncertainty due to Trump's trade policies, which could lead to weaker growth, higher unemployment, and faster inflation—a rare "stagflationary" scenario. This has rattled traditional markets (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq all dropped sharply), but the implications for the **crypto market** are nuanced:
Potential Crypto Market Outlook:
1. **Short-Term Volatility
- Risk-off sentiment in equities could spill over into crypto, causing sell-offs as investors seek liquidity.
- However, Bitcoin (BTC) and gold may see **safe-haven flows** if inflation fears escalate.
2. **Fed Rate Cut Expectations & Liquidity**
- Powell’s cautious stance suggests the Fed may **delay rate cuts** if inflation surges, which could pressure crypto (less cheap money).
- But if growth slows sharply, the Fed may eventually pivot to easing—**bullish for crypto** (as seen in 2020-2021).
3. **Stagflation Hedge Narrative**
- If the U.S. faces **high inflation + slow growth**, Bitcoin’s hard-cap supply could attract institutional interest as an alternative to bonds or cash.
4. **Dollar Weakness & Crypto**
- Aggressive tariffs could weaken the USD long-term (if trade wars escalate), benefiting **BTC as a neutral reserve asset**.
### **Bottom Line:**
- **Near-term:** Crypto may remain volatile, tracking macro uncertainty.
- **Long-term:** If Powell’s warnings materialize (stagflation risk), Bitcoin and select altcoins (e.g., store-of-value narratives) could gain traction as hedges.
**Watch:** Fed’s next moves, USD trends, and institutional BTC ETF flows for confirmation.
#PowellRemarks، #RateCutExpectations #CryptoOutlook #bitcoin #Macro
Potential Crypto Market Outlook:
1. **Short-Term Volatility
- Risk-off sentiment in equities could spill over into crypto, causing sell-offs as investors seek liquidity.
- However, Bitcoin (BTC) and gold may see **safe-haven flows** if inflation fears escalate.
2. **Fed Rate Cut Expectations & Liquidity**
- Powell’s cautious stance suggests the Fed may **delay rate cuts** if inflation surges, which could pressure crypto (less cheap money).
- But if growth slows sharply, the Fed may eventually pivot to easing—**bullish for crypto** (as seen in 2020-2021).
3. **Stagflation Hedge Narrative**
- If the U.S. faces **high inflation + slow growth**, Bitcoin’s hard-cap supply could attract institutional interest as an alternative to bonds or cash.
4. **Dollar Weakness & Crypto**
- Aggressive tariffs could weaken the USD long-term (if trade wars escalate), benefiting **BTC as a neutral reserve asset**.
### **Bottom Line:**
- **Near-term:** Crypto may remain volatile, tracking macro uncertainty.
- **Long-term:** If Powell’s warnings materialize (stagflation risk), Bitcoin and select altcoins (e.g., store-of-value narratives) could gain traction as hedges.
**Watch:** Fed’s next moves, USD trends, and institutional BTC ETF flows for confirmation.
#PowellRemarks، #RateCutExpectations #CryptoOutlook #bitcoin #Macro
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