@CZ : 2026 Could Be Crypto's Most Divisive Year Ever (article by @WuBlockchain )
In a January 14, 2026 video message following his presidential pardon, Binance founder CZ delivered a sobering yet forward-looking take: "2026 may become the most divisive year in crypto history".
The core tension? Two powerful, opposing forces colliding head-on.
- Traditional cycle: The industry’s well-established four-year halving pattern historically signals a bear market phase starting now—post-2024 halving, reduced issuance, and typical post-peak exhaustion.
- New macro reality: The current US administration has flipped fully pro-crypto. Trump-era policies prioritize stock market protection via rate cuts and deregulation, potentially overriding the old cycle and fueling a prolonged “Super Cycle.”
CZ frames this as genuine uncertainty: loose monetary policy could extend the bull run dramatically, while stubborn cycle believers brace for correction. The market faces a rare fork—historical precedent vs. unprecedented political tailwinds.
Key insights from CZ:
- Don’t bet the farm on exact timing; cycles are probabilistic, not guaranteed.
- Institutional adoption (ETFs, treasury shifts) and policy normalization are real momentum drivers.
- Retail still lags despite BTC near $90K+—true mass entry could ignite the next leg -> $BTC could reach $200,000
Bottom line: 2026 won’t be “just another year.” It’s the battleground where old crypto logic meets new financial geopolitics. Winners will be those who adapt without blind hope.
CZ’s verdict? Uncertainty is the only certainty. Position with eyes wide open.
What side are you leaning toward—cycle bear or policy super bull?
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