📉 Market Context #RİVER $RIVER

Trend: Strong downtrend (price closed at 25.920, down -3.72%).
Indicators:
EMA(7) = 28.469, EMA(25) = 32.254, EMA(99) = 45.338 → price trading well below all EMAs = bearish bias.
RSI(6) = 9.377, RSI(12) = 16.831 → oversold, but still weak.
MACD = -2.388 vs Signal = -2.698 → bearish momentum, histogram negative.

Volume: Sell volume (739K) > buy volume (889K) but overall liquidity is thinning.

🎯 Trade Setup

Option A: Short Continuation

Entry: 26.000–26.200 (near minor pullback zone).
Stop Loss: Above EMA(7) ~28.500.
Target 1: 24.500 (recent support).
Target 2: 22.000 (next demand zone).
Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5 if stop at 28.5 and target at 22.0.

Option B: Oversold Bounce (Countertrend)

Entry: 25.800–26.000 (current oversold RSI).
Stop Loss: 25.000 (recent low).
Target 1: 28.500 (EMA(7) resistance).
Target 2: 32.000 (EMA(25) resistance).
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 if bounce holds.

⚠️ Risk Notes

High volatility: RIVER is thinly traded, so spikes can hit stops quickly.
Oversold RSI: Suggests a possible short-term bounce, but trend is still bearish.
Best practice: Use small position size and consider scaling in/out.

✅ Tactical Recommendation

Since you prefer side-by-side breakdowns and leverage simulations, I’d suggest:

Run both setups in parallel with paper trading first.
If you’re confident in the bearish continuation, lean heavier on Option A.
If you want to catch a quick bounce, keep Option B small and tight.