Sentient Token Launch: Market Expectations vs. Fundamentals.
Sentient is set to launch tomorrow with significant divergence between pre-market and prediction market valuations. The pre-market currently prices the project at $4.9 billion, while Polymarket traders expect a $1 billion valuation at launch—indicating an anticipated 80% decline from current levels.
However, the token's structure differs from typical launches. Team tokens are locked for seven years, and 60% of the total supply is allocated to the community rather than venture capital investors. This tokenomics design could reduce immediate selling pressure.
A key metric to monitor is the airdrop claim rate. If fewer than 30% of eligible recipients claim their tokens on the first day, the launch may avoid the steep price drops commonly seen after Binance Launchpool events, where immediate selling typically drives prices down.
Analysts suggest focusing on claim rate data rather than initial price action to assess the token's trajectory in the early hours following launch.
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